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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of permanent magnets on December 31, 2027?
0
Ṁ100
2027
67%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains an active export restriction (prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement under UNCTAD MAST P3 classification) on permanent magnets of metal (HS 850511, including NdFeB and SmCo permanent magnets). Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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