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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of graphite anode material on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 31
55%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has active, unresumed export controls (licensing requirements or bans) on natural graphite or synthetic graphite anode material (HS 3801.10, HS 3801.90). Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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