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Will China restrict exports of copper concentrate or refined copper on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ49
Dec 31
6%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary copper ores and concentrates, HS 260300, or refined copper cathodes, HS 740311. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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