Will the Jimmy Apples AGI tweet stand a test of time
34
1kṀ6034
resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves to a poll in a year.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ338
2Ṁ138
3Ṁ135
4Ṁ91
5Ṁ60
Sort by:

Shouldn't of been resolved, still has 2025 in his bio and now 4.5 and 5 confirmed to release this year

What did he say in his tweet ?

@AitchKay Oh, there was a link to it, but apparently, he deleted the tweet. It was about Agi.

@MikhailDoroshenko He deleted it? Does that mean he was just lying/trolling?

The train has left the station

It's clear internal testers at MS already Believe. It's also known that early pre-lobotomy versions are measurably more capable than the final public release. Hype train's already left the station!

@alexkropivny Can you expand more on your comment. It is very important for me. What does your screenshot imply? What is MS? Sorry for being uninformed, but it is very important for me. Please.

This guy MAY have insider information (he correctly predicted the date of GPT-4's launch). However, he also has a history of wild, unrealistic bullshit.

  • claims that a "125-trillion' version of GPT-4 exists (not stated whether this means params or training tokens.)

  • claims GPT-4 will be able to generate videos

  • claims GPT-5 exists (!) and was trained in October 2022 (!!)

Would bet more but I don't know what "AGI" implies.

https://web.archive.org/web/20230228200635/https://twitter.com/apples_jimmy

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules