As Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) continues to evolve, it has sparked enthusiastic advocacy related to its potential benefits such as technological advancements, economic growth, and problem-solving capabilities. This enthusiasm has sometimes manifested in the form of public rallies and demonstrations in support of AGI development.

Before January 1st, 2025, will there be at least one organized rally, attracting a minimum of 1000 participants, in support of the development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve positively if, before January 1st, 2025, credible sources confirm that there has been at least one organized rally in support of AGI development anywhere in the world, which has attracted a minimum of 1000 participants.

For the purpose of this question:

1. A "rally" refers to a public demonstration or gathering where people express their support or advocacy for a particular issue or event. It does not include online rallies, digital campaigns, or social media movements.

2. "Participants" refers to people who are physically present at the rally. They could be supporters, speakers, organizers, or people who have joined in solidarity. Police officers, security personnel, and bystanders are not included in this count.

3. "In support of the development of AGI" refers to the rally having a primary objective related to advocating the development, implementation, or deployment of Artificial General Intelligence. For example, if the demonstrators consistently shouted "AGI for a better future, let's embrace the AI revolution!", that would count.

4. Credible sources of confirmation can include news outlets, police reports, statements from rally organizers, or documented photo or video evidence. Social media posts will only be considered credible if accompanied by verifiable photo or video evidence.

The question will resolve negatively if no such rally takes place before January 1st, 2025. If there is no credible documentation provided by the deadline that verifies the occurrence and participant count of such a rally, the question will resolve as N/A.

Inspired by: https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-a-protest-attracting-1000-part

Will a protest attracting 1000 participants against AGI development occur before 2025?

63% chance. As Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) continues to progress, it’s sparked debates and controversies surrounding ethics, safety, job displacement, and societal changes. As a result, public demonstrations, including protests, have been organized to voice concerns and demand regulations…