Opinion poll: Was the 2020 election “free and fair”?
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Plus
17
Ṁ889
2026
75%
chance

This is an opinion poll tracking what manifest users believe about the 2020 election.

Resolves YES if the market is above 50% on December 31, 2025 at 11:59pm PT.

Result will determine the resolution of this market: “Will manifold consider the 2020 election ‘free and fair at the end of 2025’?”

— https://manifold.markets/MikeElias/will-manifold-consider-the-2020-ele

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You will at least want it to resolve at a random time between some hours, instead of an exact date, or one huge whale could snipe this market to the outcome they want

Use an actual poll to do a poll, otherwise this is just bait for gaming

@JamesBaker3 Can poll respondents change their initial answer if they want to?

@MikeElias No, you would do the poll at the time you want to measure sentiment

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