Opinion poll: Was the 2020 election “free and fair”?
21
1kṀ19172026
86%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is an opinion poll tracking what manifest users believe about the 2020 election.
Resolves YES if the market is above 50% on December 31, 2025 at 11:59pm PT.
Result will determine the resolution of this market: “Will manifold consider the 2020 election ‘free and fair at the end of 2025’?”
— https://manifold.markets/MikeElias/will-manifold-consider-the-2020-ele
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?
65% chance
Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026?
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
62% chance
Will Manifold consider the 2020 election “free and fair” at the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
77% chance
Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
76% chance
The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
74% chance
Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?
74% chance
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
36% chance
In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]
8% chance