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MANIFOLD
California AB 316 (ban driverless trucks) becomes law in 2023
12
Ṁ230Ṁ1.4k
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO
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predictedNO

I plan to resolve this to No. It's highly unlikely that the legislature will come back into session by the end of the year, and the legislature has not overridden a Governor's veto in over a decade. If you object, please reply here with your reasons.

predictedNO

Did a bit of searching, apparently legislature has 60 non-joint recess days to override any veto. The legislature is on recess right now and (assuming no special sessions) will reconvene on Wednesday, January 3, and will have until March 3 to override any vetos in the last batch.

http://www.leginfo.ca.gov/rules/joint_rules.pdf
https://www.assembly.ca.gov/schedules-publications/legislative-deadlines

predictedNO

@MingweiSamuel Given the wording of the question "becomes law in 2023", the most correct strategy is to wait to see if legislature is doing any special session (I assume no) and then close after December 31

predictedNO

@MCMillennium For you as the resolver, yeah. There's zero chance of that happening AFAIK, as only Governor Newsom can call a special session and he chooses what specific issues can be covered. I'd bet more on no but 4% isn't a good enough margin for EOY

predictedNO

(There are much higher-margin EOY questions that also have basically zero chance of happening 😛 )

Veto official.
https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billHistoryClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240AB316

Does anyone know the deadline for the legislature to override a veto? Is it still October 14?

Newsom vetos AB316 as expected, legislature has the votes to override his veto (IIRC) if they so choose but a veto has not been overridden since 1980
https://twitter.com/CaliforniaLabor/status/1705418530953580988
https://sor.senate.ca.gov/sites/sor.senate.ca.gov/files/2391%20SOR%20report%20governors%20veto%20record%20final.pdf

@MingweiSamuel
https://twitter.com/AllenJWilson/status/1705421201521410265
Senate 36-2 and Assembly 69-4 according to this random tweet

@MingweiSamuel Do you know when the deadline to override a veto is? Is it October 14?

predictedNO

@MCMillennium Not sure, I’m pretty sure it has to be longer than that though