Will Nate Silver sign up for Manifold by July 2023?
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resolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO

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predictedNO

Generally the first thing famous people do when they join manifold is insider trade on markets about themselves, so I'm comfortable resolving this.

Let's all take a moment to thank @BTE for helping boost the insider trading payout.

@MichaelWheatley What is this in reference to?

@IsaacKing I think he is referencing me buying it from 50-64 immediately upon opening. Then he, as an insider (creator) banked. I don't know Nate Silver, though I do know his sister, but she stopped talking to me when I asked her to introduce me to her brother. 100-percent true story.

@IsaacKing The lower the price is, the more free mana Nate Silver gets when he sign's up by betting YES. ... except wait a minute... BTE is the villain here, he was supposed ot bet NO.

Will Nate Silver sign up for Manifold by July 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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