Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine by 2024?
36
902แน6334resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10154/radiation-incident-in-ukraine-by-2024/
Expected to resolve around Feb 1, 2024.
Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน215 | |
| 2 | แน46 | |
| 3 | แน37 | |
| 4 | แน24 | |
| 5 | แน21 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Ukraine-Russia war cause a nuclear disaster before 2028?
10% chance
Will Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
6% chance
Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
5% chance
Will Russia breach a nuclear reactor in Ukraine resulting in a radiation release of >10^-4 chernobyls
6% chance
Will Ukraine have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2035?
18% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?