Will Emmanuel Macron dissolve the French National Assembly before the end of his term?
23
432
Ṁ4.5KṀ348
2027
13%
chance
1D
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1M
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From https://metaculus.com/questions/15857/macrons-dissolution-of-the-national-assembly/
The President of France has the right to dissolve the National Assembly, the lower house of the bicameral French Parliament. In this case, the new elections for the National Assembly will be held.
As Macron lost his majority in parliament in 2022 and more and more riots take place against his government, this option (which has not been used since the political crisis of 1997, where President Jacques CHirac dissolved the National Assembly) is becoming increasingly credible in the future.
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