Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if credible international sources report at least 100 military deaths resulting from direct armed conflict between Israel and Turkey before January 1, 2030. Deaths must be confirmed casualties from combat operations, airstrikes, naval engagements, or other direct military confrontations between the two nations' armed forces. Deaths from terrorism, espionage operations, or indirect consequences of conflict do not count. Resolution will be determined by reports from major international news organizations, military analysts, or official government statements from either nation or credible third parties.

This description was generated by AI.