NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031
7
closes 2025
13%
chance

Related markets

NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (Yes) → Second US Civil War Before 203112%
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?14%
Will any US state secede before 2030?5%
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?53%
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?16%
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?93%
if a civil war does not occur before 2028 in the United States, what interventions or factors will have ensured ongoing peaceful transfer of power and avoided mass violence, according to estimates of polled experts in 2035?
Will the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?65%
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2030?7%
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2030?6%
Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030?45%
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?81%
Will the draft be reinstated in the United States before 2030?7%
Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030?47%
Will the US incorporate a VAT by end of 2030?27%
Will any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?90%
Resolves No in 20301%
Will Canada build a new nuclear power plant before January 1st 2060?59%
Will the US implement a carbon tax by 2030?55%
Will an age limit be placed on the US Presidency before 2030?6%