NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (Yes) → Second US Civil War Before 2031
5
closes 2025
12%
chance

Related markets

NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 203113%
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?57%
Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 203023%
Will the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?61%
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?24%
Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030?45%
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?14%
Will any city get nuked before 2040?7%
Part 2: In 2023, will there be an inflection point in the "electrification of everything"?45%
Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030?47%
Will the US incorporate a VAT by end of 2030?27%
Will any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?90%
Will the second law of thermodynamics get a revision before 20305%
Will the US implement a carbon tax by 2030?59%
Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-203372%
Will peak oil demand happens before 2028?30%
Will Canada build a new nuclear power plant before January 1st 2060?59%
Will Nonlinear exist in 2030?15%
Will a European/EU army be created before 2030?38%
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?41%