
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
3
Ṁ270Ṁ31resolved Feb 20
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any frontier lab be near-fully automated before 2029?
32% chance
Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026?
Any American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
41% chance
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
65% chance
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
87% chance
Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
60% chance
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
80% chance
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
will i get a full-time frontier lab offer by end of september 2027
32% chance
Will >10 US frontier lab employees be killed in relation to their jobs by 2040?
32% chance