What will be the AGI prediction of Metaculus in March 1st?
4
100Ṁ87Mar 1
2%
2025
2%
2026
2%
2027
2%
2028
43%
2029
44%
2030
2%
2031
2%
2032 or Later
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
In 2 years, what will the Metaculus prediction for AGI timelines be?
2028
Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
27% chance
What will be "March 2020" for AGI?
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
71% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
57% chance
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?
77% chance
How well will I (@draaglom) forecast on Metaculus in 2025? (Peer accuracy leaderboard)
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
82% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2025?
92% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
42% chance