Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
9
150Ṁ1772100
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
28% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
45% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
72% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
63% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
74% chance