Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
10
150Ṁ1782100
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
17% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
60% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
84% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
75% chance
Will we get AGI before 2038?
72% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
55% chance