MANIFOLD
Will a Oscar film released before December 10, 2025, depict Toronto as itself?
10
Ṁ1kṀ4.9k
Jan 22
3%
chance

This market predicts whether an Oscar nomination or winner film released before December 10, 2025, will depict Toronto as itself. A 'major film' is defined as a feature-length production with wide theatrical release or significant streaming platform distribution. The resolution will be based on film release announcements and listings from reputable sources such as IMDb and Box Office Mojo.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I've reopened this market to close around the time of the next Oscar nominations - even though the films have to have been released already, we don't know which will be nominated for an Oscar.

Is "Turning Red" the last film that accomplished this feat?

I consider it unlikely, especially before the end of the year. Film circles would’ve discussed the movie’s creation/it would’ve made local news if it was likely

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy