Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Basic
9
แน2482030
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The film must be:
feature length (60+ minutes long)
shown in many theatres or on a major streaming platform
critical of contemporary China
Shorts don't count. Films shown at film festivals alone don't count. A video on YouTube alone doesn't count. Documentaries don't count.
"Criticism" can be explicit or implicit in the film's themes (e.g. negative depiction of the Chinese government) but must be substantial and central.
Films in the past that qualify for the purposes of this question include Kundun, Red Corner, and Seven Years in Tibet, all released by big studios in 1997. The last film that appears like it would qualify is Ten Years (2015), which was made in Hong Kong but later released on Netflix in 2019.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
23% chance
A major hollywood movie about Covid comes out portraying the CCP negatively before 2035
64% chance
Will one of the top 10 highest grossing movies of 2024 be from China?
64% chance
Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?
50% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
33% chance
Will an original work be in the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2024?
19% chance
Will there be a film that costs over $1B to make by the end of 2030?
37% chance
Will an MCU movie be released in 2030?
74% chance
Will a movie with a budget >$500M be released by 2026?
68% chance
Will Once Upon A Time in Shaolin be publicly leaked by the end of 2027?
61% chance