Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Basic
9
แน€248
2030
70%
chance

The film must be:

  • feature length (60+ minutes long)

  • shown in many theatres or on a major streaming platform

  • critical of contemporary China

Shorts don't count. Films shown at film festivals alone don't count. A video on YouTube alone doesn't count. Documentaries don't count.

"Criticism" can be explicit or implicit in the film's themes (e.g. negative depiction of the Chinese government) but must be substantial and central.

Films in the past that qualify for the purposes of this question include Kundun, Red Corner, and Seven Years in Tibet, all released by big studios in 1997. The last film that appears like it would qualify is Ten Years (2015), which was made in Hong Kong but later released on Netflix in 2019.

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