Will Google Maps display "Gulf of America" in place of "Gulf of Mexico" before 2026?
💎
Premium
382
Ṁ750k
resolved Feb 11
Resolved
YES

Background The Gulf of Mexico is a major body of water bordered by the United States, Mexico, and Cuba. In recent years, there have been occasional proposals to rename it to "Gulf of America," though no official changes have been approved by international governing bodies or mapping authorities.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Google Maps displays "Gulf of America" instead of "Gulf of Mexico" as the primary label for this body of water at any point before January 1, 2026. The change must be visible on the main Google Maps website (maps.google.com) and/or the official Google Maps mobile app.

The market will resolve NO if:

  • Google Maps continues to display "Gulf of Mexico" through December 31, 2025

  • Google Maps displays both names simultaneously

  • The change appears only in experimental features, beta versions, or regional variants

  • The change appears only temporarily due to a technical error

  • Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

    • The change to "Gulf of America" must be visible to all US users on the main Google Maps website (maps.google.com) and/or the official Google Maps mobile app, even if other regions continue to display "Gulf of Mexico."

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ11,713
2Ṁ7,302
3Ṁ7,160
4Ṁ6,461
5Ṁ5,819
Sort by:

Google Maps continues to display "Gulf of Mexico" through December 31, 2025

Should manifold ban the use of the word "through" in markets, since people apparently don't know what it means? As stated, this actually means the market resolves no if google maps displays Gulf of Mexico through the entirety of the day of December 31, 2025.

To those that are disliking, I'm not suggesting the market was deceptive or should be rolled back or anything. The meaning was clear. But a simple "by" would have been preferable and more correct.

@Odoacre Some of us on here, like the Maxwell may be ESL so it can be expected, please have the understanding and love in the heart for it! We are trying to do it our best!

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I am ESl myself and I get it, that's why I think manifold should flag improper uses of through instead of by. I don't really understand why through has become popular, but it should not be.

Google needs to reread the executive order (they won't)

From Australia right now

@MartinDougiamas In the resolution criteria:

Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

  • The change to "Gulf of America" must be visible to all US users on the main Google Maps website (maps.google.com) and/or the official Google Maps mobile app, even if other regions continue to display "Gulf of Mexico."

@MaxwellTabarrok yeah I just thought it’s interesting how Google are hedging their bets 😃

displays as mexico primarily with the alt name in brackets in ireland. resolution criteria seem to indicate that regional variants resolve NO

@Antonexe In the resolution criteria:

Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

  • The change to "Gulf of America" must be visible to all US users on the main Google Maps website (maps.google.com) and/or the official Google Maps mobile app, even if other regions continue to display "Gulf of Mexico."

@MaxwellTabarrok which apperas to blatantly contradict the "The change appears only in experimental features, beta versions, or regional variants" right above it which is quite misleading

At an intermediate zoom level, it still says "Gulf of Mexico" for me. I flagged this as a possible ambiguity in this comment.

I can't speak for all US users but I'm in California and this is how it displays for me.

filled a Ṁ50 NO at 99.0% order
sold Ṁ792 YES

Cashed out at 99, I bought in fairly low and didn't want something silly to happen trying to squeeze the last 1%

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

@JoshuaPhillipsLivingReaso What do you think could happen?

What are "regional variants" in the market description?

bought Ṁ5,000 YES

filled a Ṁ50 NO at 89% order

@Arcmage7000 still says Gulf of Mexico to me. I'm in the US.

filled a Ṁ5 NO at 88% order

@Arcmage7000 can you post the link? I can’t find this on the USGS website and I’m lazy.

@Arcmage7000 i'm dumb. To me it seems the blue patch on the image says Gulf of Mexico

bought Ṁ15,000 YES

@JussiVilleHeiskanen @NicoDelon link here https://edits.nationalmap.gov/apps/gaz-domestic/public/search/names

the map still says mexico, yep, but the key point is the data base has changed - you’ll see no mention of gulf of mexico if you use the search feature. this data base is what google uses for naming, so it’s just a question of timing for google to update at this point

it isn’t an automatic change, but Google will do it now

@BlueDragon It’s not good things are heading this way, these ridiculous initiatives are being acted on and executed. 💔

@Predictor truth. Trump is choosing this hill to die on, I sure as heck would not, even or especially if I were dismantling US hegemony and democracy.

But now we can pay attention to real stuff that matters.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules