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MANIFOLD
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
8
Ṁ150Ṁ177
2050
68%
chance

Resolve to NAN if there are no war between Saudi Arabia and Iran before 2050.

Running out of water meaning: 1 000 or more people in Saudi Arabia die from lack of water in a single month.

The war assumes an official declaration of war.

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If 1000 people were to run out of water, it'd probably be the slaves, and the saudis wouldn't publicize that

This is very specific

Official declarations of war are very rare by now. This may be too restrictive.