
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
7
150Ṁ2802050
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if there is a country that becomes a significant exporter of nuclear energy by 2050, akin to Saudi Arabia's current role as a major exporter of oil.
This threshold will be defined as either (1) a country that exports at least three times its own annual electricity usage as nuclear power or (2) a country that exports more that the total electricity usage of France (for some given year) as nuclear-generated electricity.
Edit: Includes both fission and fusion-generated power.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
15% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
36% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
20% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
29% chance
Will there be a civil war in Saudi Arabia with more than 100 000 deaths before 2050?
19% chance
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
68% chance
Will there be a Tesla factory in Saudi Arabia before 2030?
12% chance
Will Saudi Arabia abandon (or vastly scale back) the NEOM linear city project by 2028?
90% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
55% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
22% chance