Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030? | Manifold

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Plus

27

Ṁ922

2030

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

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