Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
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14
109
Ṁ310
2030
45%
chance

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

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My mistake, this market has a different close date, but Scott made this prediction without (inflation-adjusted).

@Chocobo Yeah, I added the inflation-adjusted part because I think that makes more sense. If you adjust for inflation for one of the questions, then I think you should do it for both.

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You made the same prediction market twice. You can just change this market to "Semaglutide (or an alternative) costs less than $100/month in 2030" with an edit.

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