Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
14
126
1k
2030
45%
chance

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

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My mistake, this market has a different close date, but Scott made this prediction without (inflation-adjusted).

@Chocobo Yeah, I added the inflation-adjusted part because I think that makes more sense. If you adjust for inflation for one of the questions, then I think you should do it for both.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

You made the same prediction market twice. You can just change this market to "Semaglutide (or an alternative) costs less than $100/month in 2030" with an edit.

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