Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2040?
9
58
210
2040
85%
chance

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

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Seems like "or an alternative" is doing a lot of work here. What if it's an alternative but performs slightly worse?

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