Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?

Science Health Weight loss drugs

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Ṁ1.3k

2030

85%

chance

ALL

Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

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My doctor friend said this is "almost certain". And there are now new alternatives coming out that are supposed to be more powerful & easier to produce.

No global catastrophe? Even if the catastrophe does not take down this market?

How does this resolve if no medicare?

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