Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?
26
1kṀ13272030
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics
(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
My doctor friend said this is "almost certain". And there are now new alternatives coming out that are supposed to be more powerful & easier to produce.
Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions
Related questions
Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
56% chance
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2040?
94% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
90% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2031?
82% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2030?
79% chance
Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?
82% chance
Will Matt Kaeberlein start taking semaglutide/ozempic by 2030?
41% chance
Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?
58% chance
Will Medicare or Medicaid cover weight loss drugs by 2029?
79% chance