Will Doors of Stone, the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicle by Patrick Rothfuss, be released before 2025?
Will Doors of Stone, the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicle by Patrick Rothfuss, be released before 2025?
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The Kingkiller Chronicle is a fantasy trilogy by the American writer Patrick Rothfuss. The first two books, The Name of the Wind and The Wise Man's Fear, were released in 2007 and 2011. The books released in the series have sold over 10 million copies.
The trilogy's third installment has been long awaited, and many fans feel disillusioned after waiting for >11 years.
This question resolves positively on the book's actual release date when it is available in stores and online shops. A pre-order date doesn't count.
Resolves to NO if the book is not released before January 1st, 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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