Will an entity be confirmed to have purchased at least 300,000 H100 GPUs before January 1st, 2025?
22
326
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resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES

The demand for high-performance computing hardware, particularly NVIDIA's H100 Tensor Core GPU, has seen a surge with the rise of advanced artificial intelligence applications. Major investments, like the one seen with Inflection AI which purchased 22,000 H100 GPUs, emphasize the increasing need for these GPUs in large-scale AI projects.

Will any entity, anywhere in the world, be confirmed to have placed an order for a cumulative total of at least 300,000 NVIDIA H100 Tensor Core GPUs by January 1st, 2025?

Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2025, credible evidence confirms that an entity, such as a government, corporation, non-profit, university, or single individual:

  1. Placed a valid order for a cumulative total of at least 300,000 NVIDIA H100 Tensor Core GPUs.

  2. Provided proof of this purchase intent through:
    a. Official statements or press releases from the entity itself, NVIDIA, or any other relevant stakeholder.
    b. Credible news reports or articles from well-established media outlets known for reliable reporting in the tech industry.
    c. Financial reports or documentation that disclose the intended purchase quantity of GPUs.

  3. Made this purchase intent for any purpose, including research, deployment in data centers, commercial product development, or any other use.

Evidence of intent to purchase from secondary markets, i.e., intending to buy from a third party that is not NVIDIA, will also be considered valid as long as the entity's total intended GPU order reaches the 300,000 threshold. All cards labeled "H100" will count as an H100 GPU for the purpose of this question. Dual H100 NVL cards count as two H100 GPUs for the purpose of this question.

I will use my discretion when resolving this question, possibly in consultation with experts, to ensure the criteria are met and that there is solid evidence of an entity's purchase for the specified number of GPUs.

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nice one

predicted YES

@MatthewBarnett Curious on your verdict on whether this market should resolve Yes

@NoaNabeshima Unless I misunderstand recent news, it seems like I'll resolve this question to YES.

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