Will Egg have positive mana by the end of next week?

Basic

Ṁ2850

resolved Jan 15

Resolved

YES

ALL

@Egg bet (and bought) the farm on

this market, and is running a -$341 Ṁ balance.

At the end of next week, I will ask for a screenshot of their home screen showing their current balance (the number under their avatar image on the main bar of the UI). This market resolves YES if that number is greater than or equal to 1. Otherwise it resolves NO.

I have always relied on the kindness of strangers. Therefore, I will be betting YES.

Close date updated to 2023-01-15 12:00 am

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold

#Ineffective Altruism

Get

1,000

and

3.00

22 Comments

12 Holders

35 Trades

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predictedYES

@Egg - it’s time to do the thing! Can you reply to this comment with your screenshot? Thanks!

predictedYES

@MattCWilson i forgot to rug pull it but here you go
https://i.imgur.com/DAxOlUs.png

predictedYES

@Egg Alas. At least it’s ended well for you and quite a few others 😄

predictedYES

@Egg thank jeebus

predictedYES

aint no rug pull going on here

predictedYES

@Egg Gotta be honest, this is getting so funny I am half rooting for some sort of shenanigans 😂

predictedYES

@MattCWilson I was -300 something start of day, then I had like 900 something current balance just now 🤣

predictedYES

@MattCWilson pls resolve YES

predictedYES

@Jacknaut OH FUCK I MISREAD IT SAYS END OF NEXT WEEK FUCK WHY DID I PUT 1000 IN IM RETARDED @EGG PLEASE DONT SCREW ME

predictedYES

@Jacknaut https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_d5jWvBirU :)

predictedYES

Ok I sent @Egg @DesTiny's 250+50 mana, plus another 100, hopefully the bribe is enough to keep egg from losing it all intentionally and screwing me out of 1000 from this market.

Could he hypothetically get mana from someone, but then just bet it all, so that at resolve time his balance is Ṁ0?

predictedYES

@DesTiny https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/will-egg-have-positive-mana-by-the#DMF44TnYKuLdAsEieRUC 😂

Are yall pricing in the risk Egg gets bailed out, but loses it again?:)

@yaboi69 There is plenty of time until the 15th

predictedYES

@yaboi69 Occurs to me that @Egg could bet it all on no, take the screenshot, and win big in this market. Both outcomes! 😄

@MattCWilson Yeah, luckily it seems there’s not enough here to win that way to make it worth, at least currently

predictedYES

@yaboi69 The question is - does the EV of lolz exceed the spread in Mana? Could be worth it 😄

predictedYES

@MattCWilson https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_d5jWvBirU

I cry 😭

@Egg 😉

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