Will a protest in China exceed 100,000 people before 2024?
44
166
850
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if multiple credible western news-sources report more than 100,000 being present at a protest.

The question resolves true if one hundred thousand or more protest in a single city concurrently. Ten thousand people protesting the same topic in ten different cities will not resolve the question true.

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@MathiasBonde Should the close date be end of 2024? It seems like it should be beginning of 2024, with maybe a little time for reporting delays, so maybe a few days into 2024?

@EvanDaniel good point will wait a few days with resolving

@MathiasBonde Just to be clear, is this based on an event that happens during 2023 ("before 2024"), or between now and the end of 2024 ("the current market closing date")

predicted NO

@MathiasBonde it looks like the close date here should be Dec 31 2023 (it's currently Dec 31 2024)

bought Ṁ100 of NO

What are "credible western news-sources"? Do you consider both Fox and NYT credible? Do you consider Al Jazeera and Yomiuri Shimbun western?

@Boklam I would consider all four credible

The numbers in the second paragraph don't seem to match the 100,000 in the headline and first paragraph...

@Boklam whoops thank you, fixed

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