"Political reasons" includes, but is not limited to, federal/state/local regulation or hostility, tariffs, etc. If any furcon announces it will be moved/cancelled and blames local, state, or federal government, any lawmaker, or even Trump specifically in their announcement, we will take them at their word and this will resolve YES.
Two of the 5 largest furry conventions, Texas Furry Fiesta and Megaplex, are in Texas and Florida, respectively. Furries have been a somewhat-recent target for republicans after false reporting about litterboxes in classrooms. Texas, specifically, has started introducing anti-furry legislation.
I will not bet on this market, in case of a subjective resolution around "cancellation," "moved," or "political."
1,000@Marnix Would Capital FurCon's July 2026 rescheduling qualify as ‘moved for political reasons’? Its February 2027 dates shifted one week earlier at the same venue. The organizer describes an unsuitable overlapping event and a hotel error; the chair's Flayrah interview identifies the National Religious Broadcasters conference and concerns about political pundits and a possible Trump visit. I'm unsure whether a date change counts as ‘moved’, whether the 2026 announcement for a 2027 event qualifies, and whether these reasons satisfy your criterion. I hold no position.
Organizer: https://capitalfurcon.org/news/june-2026-natty-harbor-shenanigans
Chair interview: https://www.flayrah.com/9615/capital-furcon-rescheduled-due-overlap-christian-broadcaster-conference
The closest thing that I can recall is Megaplex restricting attendance to 18+ in 2023 citing state legislation, and they have maintained the restriction to this day.
@CollectedOverSpread Megaplex, TFF, and a handful of the other cons in states that'd be the most likely to do this have all occurred for 2025, too.