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MANIFOLD
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
111
Ṁ2.4kṀ11k
Nov 4
55%
Theo Von
52%
Dave Portnoy
51%
Jason Calacanis
39%
Tulsi Gabbard
37%
Tim Pool
28%
Elon Musk
28%
Alex Jones
27%
Joe Rogan
23%
Chamath Palihapitiya
19%
Susie Wiles
19%
David Sacks
17%
Laura Loomer
13%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
12%
Ben Shapiro
10%
Pam Bondi
10%
Vivek Ramaswamy
7%
Karoline Leavitt
7%
Linda McMahon
7%
Marco Rubio
4%
J. D. Vance

Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES. Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example. Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships?

Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism.

This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market. In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.

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it's a damn shame no one put marjorie taylor-greene because at this point i think she'd be a clear yes

bought Ṁ100 YES

@shankypanky resolves yes

bought Ṁ438 YES

@Marnix resolve?

@Hakari yknow what, i think "trump should have been impeached and removed" is a big enough split, even if it feels like it's more of a rightward split on carlson's part

@Marnix this is an interesting case. Rotating alignment. Depending on where the advantage,financial and ideologic-aspirational lies for him. Turn twice and you face front again

bought Ṁ30 NO

Hell of a 180° ngl

I'm getting a weird feeling about this Laura Loomer subplot

eh, probably nothing

@0xseraphim seems like she's still on Team Trump, though:

@shankypanky yeah still seems loyal

I'm not being glib when I say, I'm confused with these people on what aspects of Trump's behaviour is surprising or "not what I voted for."

Rogan feigning surprise at the ICE approach

bought Ṁ30 YES

@shankypanky I've got doubts about a lot of these guys turning on Trump, but I could see Tulsi doing a full flip, given the current situation. She only recently flipped towards being a Trump ally, so she's new. Top that off with the fact that one of the ONLY policies I know she's been consistent on is not wanting to do a war with Iran

bought Ṁ30 NO

doubtful, but adding Kooky Tucker just in case

Ben is not happy about the Qatar plane news (but he also spoke about the "extraordinary" trade deal with China and the release of the last American hostage by Hamas, so Trump hasn't "lost" him yet)

surprised we didn't have Ann Coulter here

@shankypanky Hardly new for her, she tweeted this within two weeks of 1/6:

https://x.com/AnnCoulter/status/1351318932041457669

@shankypanky To be fair, I completely forgot she existed

@Marnix same until I saw this tbh

I know she's occasionally critical (hadn't seen the tweet Nathan posted above) but I thought she was still somewhat on the team. but idk what her story is really and I think it's best I don't try to piece it together.

Completely disagree, this is just a stone, someone needs to throw a rock

It will come.

Not unlike the period she spent on the road with trump UNTIL she posted that linzy Graham is gay, her post was removed almost emidiatlly and she was pulled out from under trump 😂 🤣 and then sent home, never to speak of it again, however she was correct, but called it out the wrong way.

There is plenty more to come.