Will Georgia decide to go to war with Russia via referendum?
21
10
Ṁ503Ṁ360
2026
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if, before close, Georgia goes to war with Russia due at least in part to a referendum. Resolves NO if credible sources say they will not present it. Resolves NO at close otherwise.
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Some online commentators have indicated that talk of a referendum is a political stunt, intended to defuse pro-war sentiment. That sort of referendum can backfire (ala Brexit), but this time one can expect the Kremlin's propaganda to be tipping the scales against anything interesting happening.
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