Will Donald Trump win the Iowa caucus by 30 or more points? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump win the Iowa caucus by 30 or more points?

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resolved Jan 16

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

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Results to the closest 0.1 percentage points. If Trump does not participate in the caucus for any reason, this resolves no.

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Republican Party

#2024 Republican Primaries

#2024 Primaries

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It appears that all the votes are in and he won it by only 29.8%

https://apnews.com/hub/ap-iowa-election-2024-results

Unless the counts unexpectedly change, this will resolve NO.

predicted YES

Trying to get to 50%

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