Will Donald Trump win the Iowa caucus by 25 or more points?
52
290
Ṁ12KṀ940
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Results to the closest 0.1 percentage points. If Trump does not participate in the caucus for any reason, this resolves no.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ121 | |
| 2 | Ṁ119 | |
| 3 | Ṁ76 | |
| 4 | Ṁ76 | |
| 5 | Ṁ65 |
More related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win at least twenty states?
61% chance
Will Trump win at least thirty states?
24% chance
How many states will vote at least 25% for Trump in the 2024 election?
41
Will Trump win more than 50% of delegates?
89% chance
Will Trump win more than 20% of delegates?
92% chance
Will Trump win more than 80% of delegates?
97% chance
Will the winner of Iowa in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
83% chance
Will Trump win at least fifteen states?
73% chance
Will Trump win at least twenty-five states?
44% chance