Will Donald Trump win the Iowa caucus by 33 or more points?
31
Ṁ550Ṁ9.7kresolved Jan 16
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Results to the closest 0.1 percentage points. If Trump does not participate in the caucus for any reason, this resolves no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ125 | |
| 2 | Ṁ117 | |
| 3 | Ṁ114 | |
| 4 | Ṁ109 | |
| 5 | Ṁ56 |