How much time will Trump be sentenced to for his Manhattan conviction on September 18, 2024?
20
Ṁ550Ṁ2.9kresolved Sep 6
100%97%
Sentencing delayed
1.4%
0 days
0.3%
1 - 60 days
0.3%
61 days - 6 months
0.3%
6 months 1 day - 1 year
0.2%
More than 1 year
Includes jail, prison, and house arrest. Does NOT include probation or parole after what is commonly understood as a “sentence” concludes.
Any sentence involving a fine / community service / etc. with no jail time = 0 days
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MarkHamill He's very good at playing the delay game in courts. I've rarely lost Mana on betting on it.
@MarkHamill This market defaults to this option if there is no sentence by market close?
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