Will the number of National Association of Realtors members in the USA fall below 1.3 million by EOY 2028?
Basic
2
Ṁ232028
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will judge this based on data from Statista: https://www.statista.com/statistics/196269/us-national-association-of-realtors-number-of-members-since-1910/. As of 2023-11-10, Statista states: "In 2022, the association had nearly 1.6 million members."
If the number falls below 1.3 million members, this resolves to YES on the spot since this is by EOY 2028 not 'at' EOY 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
24% chance
Will the median price of houses sold in the US drop below $400,000 by Q1 2025?
30% chance
Will the average commission rate for realtors in the USA fall below 4.6% by EOY 2028?
56% chance
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
66% chance
Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
40% chance
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
29% chance
Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?
52% chance
[REDFIN] Will US home prices fall 1% YoY in Q2 or Q3 2024?
39% chance
Will union membership in the US rise from January 2023 to January 2030?
53% chance
[REDFIN] Will "change come to the real estate industry" in 2024?
68% chance