Will Republicans take the majority in the US House in 2024?
28
106
1k
2025
45%
chance

House: resolves after the AP calls party control of the House.

  • If there are independents/3rd party winners that are known to be intending to caucus with a major party (GOP or Democrats), they will be included as part of party control.

  • If at the time of the general election there are already scheduled special elections on which control hinges, or a runoff is triggered by the general election, we'll wait for those to resolve.

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bought Ṁ30 of YES

Seems too low for us being far out from the election, especially with current poling numbers.

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