This market resolves YES if Kentucky Amendment 1 (AN ACT proposing to amend Section 77 of the Constitution of Kentucky relating to limiting the Governor's ability to grant pardons and commute sentences.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast for and against the amendment (Ky. Const. §256)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: YES to: 'Are you in favor of limiting a Governor's ability to grant pardons or commute sentences by prohibiting him or her from granting pardons or commuting sentences during the time period beginning 60 days prior to the general election at which the Governor is elected, and ending when the Governor is sworn in...' (Section 77 amended).

• NO: NO: Section 77 unchanged; no pre-election/transition blackout on pardons or commutations.

Results: resolves on the result certified by State Board of Elections (statewide canvass board) certifies; Governor proclaims (Ky. Const. §256). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.sos.ky.gov/elections/Pages/Constitutional-Amendments.aspx