This market resolves YES if West Virginia Amendment 1 (Citizenship Requirement to Vote in West Virginia Elections Amendment) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the question (W. Va. Const. art. XIV §2; W. Va. Code §3-11-6)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: For Ratification: 'This amendment provides that in all elections held in West Virginia only citizens of the United States who are citizens of this state are qualified to vote.'

• NO: Against Ratification: art. IV §1 keeps current wording ('Citizens of the state shall be entitled to vote'); statutory citizenship rule unchanged.

Results: resolves on the result certified by County boards of canvassers certify; Secretary of State ascertains and proclaims statewide result (W. Va. Code §3-11-6). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://sos.wv.gov/article/secretary-warner-issues-public-notice-proposed-amendment-west-virginia-constitution-will