This market resolves YES if Georgia Amendment 2 (Provides for the nonpartisan election of all probate court judges.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the question (Ga. Const. art. X, §I, ¶II)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: All probate judges would be elected on a nonpartisan basis.

• NO: Probate judge elections continue as now (generally partisan).

Results: resolves on the result certified by Georgia Secretary of State certifies; Governor proclaims ratified amendments. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://sos.ga.gov/sites/default/files/2026-09/2026%20Constitutional%20Summaries%20booklet%20FINAL.pdf