This market resolves YES if Alabama Amendment 2 (Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of Alabama of 2022, to provide a process for the creation of a consolidated county school system by merging two or more contiguous county boards of education; to require the State Board of Education to conduct an impact study...; to provide a procedure for protesting a proposed consolidation...; and to require the State Board of Education to adopt rules. Proposed by Act 2026-378.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Simple majority of votes cast on the amendment statewide (Ala. Const. 2022 §§284-285)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Per Fair Ballot Commission: the Constitution will be changed to create a county school-system merger process (impact study, protest procedure, State Board rules).

• NO: Per Fair Ballot Commission: the Constitution will not be changed; no constitutional process for merging county boards of education.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Returns to Secretary of State; State Canvassing Board (Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General) certifies; Governor proclaims result (Ala. Const. §285). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/2026-08/FBCStatewideAmendment-2.pdf