Will Bolsonaro be imprisoned before the end of 2023?
50
2.4kṀ33k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Related markets:

Market context
Brazil
Bolsonaro
New Year's Resolutions 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ915
2Ṁ225
3Ṁ181
4Ṁ105
5Ṁ104

People are also trading

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?
19% chance
Bolsonaro on parole within 2 years of 27-year imprisonment sentence?
42% chance
Jair Bolsonaro dies before 2030?
29% chance
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
85% chance
Will Bolsonaro ever be brought to trial for genocide?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?
35% chance
Sort by:
predictedNO

Hey guys, this subject has been rather quiet the last couple of weeks. Anyone got any new hints?

@LeonardoKr n, bem q vc me lembrou q eu tinha YES aqui

predictedNO

@MP what about you, @RogerChao? Any news about new charges or developments regarding existing controversies?

By "until 2023" do you mean that, if he is imprisioned now but is released before the end of the year, this would resolve NO?

@kcs it means before the end of 2023

predictedYES

@FranklinBaldo I see, thanks!

In what world this market resolves to NO and /FranklinBaldo/will-any-arrest-warrant-be-issued-a resolves to YES?

@MP he fles, he dies, warrent is nullified before arest, etc

predictedYES

Does he need to be convicted for the purposes of this market or temporary arrest for investigation counts as well, making it identical with the "arrested" market?

predictedNO

@GustavoMafra temporary arrest is enough

@FranklinBaldo What about a house-arrest?

predictedYES

@BernardoChrispimBaron counts as YES

predictedYES
predictedNO
predictedNO

@ManifoldDream "Will Bolsonaro be imprisoned until the end of 2023?" by Portinari

People are also trading

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?
19% chance
Bolsonaro on parole within 2 years of 27-year imprisonment sentence?
42% chance
Jair Bolsonaro dies before 2030?
29% chance
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
85% chance
Will Bolsonaro ever be brought to trial for genocide?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?
35% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy