Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil? | Manifold

Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil?

Basic

110

Ṁ47k

resolved Oct 31

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

CNN reporting Lula as having won

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/30/americas/brazil-election-polls-open-intl/index.html

predictedNO

Are we moving to 30% because of Datafolha?

@MP Several pools shows Bolsonaro ahead now

predictedYES

Related market

Related market: https://manifold.markets/MP/in-case-of-not-winning-a-second-ter

Related market: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-lula-da-silva-win-the-2022-pre

Bolsanaro is deeply unpopular and his net approval is well into the -30s, while his opponent Lula exited office as one of the most popular Presidents in Brazilian history.

Related questions

Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?

Will Jair Bolsonaro attend Donald Trump’s 2025 Inauguration?

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?

Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?

Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?

Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?

Related questions

Will Jair Bolsonaro be taken to jail until the end of 2024?

Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?

Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro attend Donald Trump’s 2025 Inauguration?

Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?

Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules