When will Deepseek V4 be released?
When will Deepseek V4 be released?
11
1kṀ43732026
October 3, 2025
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.9%
March-April 2025
12%
May-June 2025
43%
July-August 2025
15%
September-October 2025
10%
November-December 2025
9%
January-February 2026
4%
March-April 2026
2%
May-June 2026
3%
July 2026 or later (never)
Does not have to be named V4 explicitly; would be whatever model that succeeds V3, probably whatever they end up naming the model behind the deepseek-chat endpoint.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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