Will this market close between 70-95% at the end of the month ?
19
123
129
resolved Jun 4
Resolved
NO
Bit of a fun experiment. Can the power of No's outweigh the Yes voters? What happens if at the last moment "yes voters" make a push and overshoot it? This is Manifold's hoarde vs alliance, which side are you on? Closes midnight at the end of the month.
Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ600 of NO
Happened to log in and see this one, right in time to snipe it. Easy money.
@EndoviorE Oh, thanks! We're all indebted to you :)
bought Ṁ30 of NO
I really wish it was possible to set email reminders... Some combo of Undox and Conflux's logic must be correct---it's hard to see how any probability >50% can be justified.
bought Ṁ50 of NO
It is cheaper for a NO person to get it < 70% than for a yes to get it > 70%. The 95-100 gap is just icing on the cake.
bought Ṁ20 of NO
Last-whale market with a no advantage, about even odds seem wholly reasonable.