Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
Basic
58
Ṁ2176
resolved Mar 30
Resolved
YES
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
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@NoaNabeshima [ADMIN] Resolving to YES, thanks for providing the link!

2y

Both NASA and NOAA have 2022 warmer than 2021.

2y

@StevenK HadCRUT, Berkeley Earth, and JMA also all seem to agree on 2022 being warmer.

2y

@StevenK Vox links to NOAA's June data, so you could take "according to Vox's judgment" to refer to NOAA's full year data linked above.

2y

@StevenK Oops, I just saw Kelsey's comment below, which also refers to NOAA, so I think a YES resolution would be correct.

2y

@Jacknaut it says probably right tho lol

2y

@ManifoldMarkets Yes, just adding the link for other people's reference, sorry should have mentioned that. I have no opinion on how it should resolve.

2y

@ManifoldMarkets In my opinion, KP is wrong to suggest this was an easy win, considering how close 2022 ended up being to 2021.

2y

@KelseyPiper how should we resolve this the article say probably right lol

2y

@ManifoldMarkets oh sorry maybe don't resolve quite yet until NOAA pubs final numbers

2y

@KelseyPiper This would by my judgment resolve YES

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