Please clarify whether a tie will be resolved as 50/50 or something else? @itsTomekK @mods

@StevenK yeah 50/50 why not. I have to imagine NOAA saying it's a tie are vanishingly small so I wouldn't worry about it.

@Stralor I think pretty likely conditional on it being the same up to two decimals, which in turn is probably a few %.

Hearing news that warming is accelerating and is even higher than predicted.

Might this be reopened? I'm almost certain it was meant to close in Jan 2027. @itsTomekK @mods

How would you resolve a tie?

How are we going to know this by Jan 20th, 2026 @itsTomekK? What are you hiding

@LukeShadwell good point. I'm out.

@CerdoDeLaBolsa I think it was copied from the previous year. Please reopen the market, @itsTomekK

Is this a bug? 27% is correct and 22% is incorrect unless I got confused.

@StevenK Weird. It shows 27% when I hover on it.